## Bringing Down the House

P43

The main character, Kevin, a college student at MIT, started to learn some techniques and tricks to win the casino from his friend Martinez. They want to calculate the possibility of winning, to decide if they should bet more money, or just minimize their loss. Mick, Martin, Fisher, and Kevin are in a team to win the casino, with a bunch of other friends that want to work behind the scene.

## Winter Break Update (“Bringing Down The House”)

I decided to start a new book- “Bringing Down The House”. The story so far is about a bunch of MIT students trying to make money by casinos. They calculate the probability of winning and when they should “all in”, and when they should stop playing. I will want to write an essay about this book instead.

## 3)How Not To Be Wrong

By Jordan Ellenberg

Page 59-Page 104

The results of an experiment tend to settle down to a fixed average when the experiment is repeated again and again. For example, if you flip 10 coins together, and count how many heads there were, it will be like 4,4,5,6,5,4,3,3…, but if you flip a hundred coins, the number will be 46,48,48,51,50…, and when you flip a thousand coins, the number will be 486, 401,489, 472,510… The larger amount of coins you flip, the more likely that the number of heads will be 50% of the number of coins you flip.

## How Not to be Wrong

by Jordan Ellenberg       to Page 59

The third chapter introduces linear regression, In statistics, linear regression is a linear approach to modeling the relationship between a scalar response and one or more explanatory variables. For example, research shows that if you can raise the average SAT score of your incoming first year by 50 points on average, you can charge \$1400 more in tuition. This shows schools with a higher SAT score are likely to be pricier. But sometimes, it is not the case. That is when linear regression is used.

## (1)How Not to Be Wrong

How Not to Be Wrong

Jordan Ellenberg

Page 1-27

How Not to Be Wrong is a book by Jordan Ellenberg. The book is about how math can solve real-world problems. For example, in the first chapter, it tells a story about Abraham Wald and the Missing Bullet Holes. It shows how Abraham Wald uses math to solve the ” Survivorship bias” and how mathematics is common sense. Even the process of proving is complicated, but the idea doesn’t require formulas.

## Cuban Revolution Video

Alex Zhao, Max Wong

The Cuban Revolution happened between 1952-1959 and was a chaotic time for Cuba. In 1952, the former president of Cuba Fulgencio Batista conducted a military siege and controlled the country after then. He let a large number of American businessmen into the country and they controlled 70%of fertile land and a lot of the industry. A university student studying in the university of Havana called Fidel Castro became eager to fight for change and started gathering people in his university. A year later, they stormed the Moncada Barracks on July 26 and it was a complete failure with most of the Rebels jailed or killed. Fidel Castro himself surrendered and was sentenced to prison for 15 years. However, he was released 2 years later only to find that Batista is trying to kill him. Luckily, he was able to escape to Mexico and regroup the Rebels. There, he met Che Guevara and they returned to Cuba a year later. In 1956, they were forced into the mountains and a 2-year battle in the Sierra Maestra. In the mountains, Fidel Castro used a tactic called Guerilla warfare where they hit and run. Batista’s army was not used to the mountains and were suffering a lot of defeat. 2 years later, Fidel Castro fought out of the mountains and began to control a lot of government locations and other buildings such as oil plants. Batista was defeated and fled to Florida before the new year. Fidel Castro established a Communist country later on and became friends with the Soviet Union.